Sometimes you win big!
Today was like that for me. FOFOA started me off this morning with a nice & scary (not to mention commendably short) Halloween Story! FOFOA! Make this a series while you still have time!
Soon after I had a meeting that went better than I could have even hoped for, I will not bore you with the details.
After that I had my annual (more-or-less) physical with my doctor. Everything went fine, and then the Grand Finale... Similar to last year:
Robert Mix: "Doctor, are you sure there is, ah, no, chemical way to check this? You know, like from my blood test or urinanalysis?"
Doctor B: "No. Sorry."
I then mentioned maybe it was just as well, as it would be good training for Belle Glade ("Google it")... I then mentioned (like last year...) that he should just hide a tape recorder there in the room and tape all the really different noises that come from deep within the human male body re that exam, and once he has some variety post it at YouTube... I swear that his finger gets a little fatter every year...
When I got home, I found that I had some extra energy, so I decided to go ahead and "take some exercise". As it was late afternoon on Halloween, I was happy to note NO CHILDREN AROUND, so I got my Tai Chi sword out (I do not practice with the sword when children and/or Security are around). I did my two forms and a decent amount of sword work (I have just started learning this, it is awesome cool).
When I finished my Tai Chi, I went to the spa and worked some of the weights. I loaded up the bench press to 165 lbs (which matches my own weight). I had read years ago that "a man ought to be able to lift his own weight." I presume that means a full scale barbell lift (from the floor), which is harder than the bench press. I asked some TEENAGE DUUUUUDE to "spot me" (assist me in lifting the weight in case I could not do it), but I heaved it up (one time) just fine. That is the most I have lifted since I was a young lad of 40...
Next up was my run. So I hid my sword and hit the trail. I have decided to add some variety to my runs, so I duck under branches, hurdle over a wall, speed up & slow down, etc. Upon finishing my run, I retrieved my sword and headed for the entrance of our condo building. A family of three was waiting, perhaps for the Valet to deliver their car.
The door slid open, and as I passed them one of those little shitty white dogs (toy poodles so beloved of the ex-NYC-ers here, I guess) BARKED at me, very loud! I did not notice the little son-of-a-bitch (yes, you can look that one up too!) when I had walked past. The little thing had an impressive bark, enough to startle me some.
And then, one of those moments that many men wait for..., wait for, for years! I stopped, glanced over at the Concierge, and unsheathed my sword!
The Concierge screamed: "Noooohh! Please don't kill the dog!!!"
I then told her not to worry, that I had no intention to, and that it was just an El Cheapo Chinese sword for practicing sword forms in Tai Chi, and put it back where it belonged... (Big smile)
So, in the shower after that, recollecting the various moments of this awesome day, I then thought this would make a nice blog post! Some of you already know I get some of my most creative ideas in the shower... I had the post almost already written in there! And then I saw what my lovely dear wife had made for dinner:
My day was one in a thousand... May all of you have days like this!
Monday, October 29, 2012
A Musing on Gold and Fiat Currencies
A Monday Morning Musing from Mickey the Mercenary Geologist
October 29, 2012
Gold is money that maintains its purchasing power, and for this reason it should be viewed as insurance against financial calamity and a hedge in case of economic collapse.
When money supplies are inflated, fiat currencies are devalued and the price of gold goes up. For example, monopoly money manipulators Bernanke and Draghi announced the purchase of more tranches of American and European debt in late August and early September and gold rose $127 an ounce in a two-week period:
During the previous six months, it had been widely anticipated that Professor Bernanke planned to engage in this third round of quantitative easing. In the various instances when he did not, gold precipitously dropped $50 or more immediately after his speech.
Despite mainstream media‘s promulgation of the idea, gold's inexorable increase in price does not represent a bubble. The gold price has steadily increased in every major currency over the last 11 years, and it is now all but certain the metal will end 2012 higher than it was at year’s end 2011. Precious metals pundits have predicted this performance for several years now; it seems a veritable no-brainer.
By comparison, examine what happened with the price of silver in the late winter to mid-spring of 2011; it rose from less than $27 to nearly $50 an ounce and then immediately collapsed in a parabolic fall to $32 and change. This is precisely how speculative market bubbles work:
Although silver has traded below $30 most of 2012, it is now at $32 in the aftermath of QE3. Silver is not money; it is more industrial than precious metal.
We have not seen this sort of volatility in the gold market since late 1979 to early 1980. In the course of five and a half months it went from $282 to $850 an ounce and in a classic parabolic fall, was at $482 two months later. It took nearly 28 years to reach that lofty level again.
As for the bevy of gold bug speculators currently predicting that gold will reach $2,500 an ounce by the end of the year, I can foresee no catalyst to stimulate such an exponential rise.
Regarding their mid-term ideas of gold breaching $5,000, $10,000 or even $15,000 an ounce, I would opine that if it were to reach those levels within the next few years, you should own not only gold but a gaggle of guns and an arsenal of ammo because the world would be in total economic and social collapse.
No matter what price of gold bullion retailers, newsletter writers, radio pundits, and TV talking heads with vested interests may promote, please note that financial success with their respective buyers, subscribers, listeners, and viewers depends on sustaining an emotional environment of greed, fear, and panic. Some of the older perma-bulls in this crowd have been predicting an imminent collapse of the world’s financial system since the late 1970s and early 1980s. This Chicken Little notion reminds me of the multitude of born-again doomsday prophets predicting the end of the world, a la Monty Python’s “Life of Brian”.
Personally, I prefer the Boy Scout way and am hopefully prepared for whatever may come; i.e., I hold a minimum of 10 per cent of my net assets in physical gold in my physical possession at any given time.
For me, gold is neither an investment nor a speculation. I do not trade gold; I hoard gold. Gold is my insurance policy against financial calamity and my hedge against economic collapse.
I think that every smart investor should have a portion of his net assets in physical gold. Gold is money. Everything else is just a constantly devaluing piece of fiat paper or a keyboard stroke that is deemed by one insolvent government or another to be money.
May you own gold, live long, and prosper.
Ciao for now,
The Mercenary Geologist Michael S. “Mickey” Fulp is a Certified Professional Geologist with a B.Sc. Earth Sciences with honor from the
of Tulsa, and M.Sc. Geology from the . Mickey has 35 years
experience as an exploration geologist and analyst searching for economic
deposits of base and precious metals, industrial minerals, uranium, coal, oil
and gas, and water in North and South America, Europe, and Asia. University of New Mexico
Mickey worked for junior explorers, major mining companies, private companies, and investors as a consulting economic geologist for over 20 years, specializing in geological mapping, property evaluation, and business development. In addition to Mickey’s professional credentials and experience, he is high-altitude proficient, and is bilingual in English and Spanish. From 2003 to 2006, he made four outcrop ore discoveries in Peru, Nevada, Chile, and British Columbia.
Mickey is well-known and highly respected throughout the mining and exploration community due to his ongoing work as an analyst, writer, and speaker.
Acknowledgement: Michelle Lopez is the editor of MercenaryGeologist.com.
Disclaimer: I am not a certified financial analyst, broker, or professional qualified to offer investment advice. Nothing in a report, commentary, this website, interview, and other content constitutes or can be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell stock. Information is obtained from research of public documents and content available on the company’s website, regulatory filings, various stock exchange websites, and stock information services, through discussions with company representatives, agents, other professionals and investors, and field visits. While the information is believed to be accurate and reliable, it is not guaranteed or implied to be so. The information may not be complete or correct; it is provided in good faith but without any legal responsibility or obligation to provide future updates. I accept no responsibility, or assume any liability, whatsoever, for any direct, indirect or consequential loss arising from the use of the information. The information contained in a report, commentary, this website, interview, and other content is subject to change without notice, may become outdated, and will not be updated. A report, commentary, this website, interview, and other content reflect my personal opinions and views and nothing more. All content of this website is subject to international copyright protection and no part or portion of this website, report, commentary, interview, and other content may be altered, reproduced, copied, emailed, faxed, or distributed in any form without the express written consent of Michael S. (Mickey) Fulp, Mercenary Geologist.com LLC.Copyright © 2012 MercenaryGeologist.com. LLC All Rights Reserved.